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icon for Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?

Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?

icon for Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?

Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?

Sim

13% chance
Polymarket

$27,474 Vol.

Sim

13% chance
Polymarket

$27,474 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Brazil's Senate lacks the two-thirds majority required to advance impeachment proceedings against Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, preserving the historical precedent that no justice has been removed in the modern era. Recent actions by Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that would have shortened former President Jair Bolsonaro's sentence, underscore his continued institutional authority and the limited leverage of opposition efforts. Diplomatic tensions with the United States have eased following the December 2025 lifting of sanctions, further reducing external pressure that could have influenced domestic votes. With the legislative calendar controlled by a cautious Senate leadership and no new procedural breakthroughs, traders assess the probability of removal before year-end as low.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,474
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Brazil's Senate lacks the two-thirds majority required to advance impeachment proceedings against Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, preserving the historical precedent that no justice has been removed in the modern era. Recent actions by Moraes, including his May 2026 suspension of legislation that would have shortened former President Jair Bolsonaro's sentence, underscore his continued institutional authority and the limited leverage of opposition efforts. Diplomatic tensions with the United States have eased following the December 2025 lifting of sanctions, further reducing external pressure that could have influenced domestic votes. With the legislative calendar controlled by a cautious Senate leadership and no new procedural breakthroughs, traders assess the probability of removal before year-end as low.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,474
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandre de Moraes fora como ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal do Brasil?" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?" has generated $27.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?" is "Alexandre de Moraes fora como ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal do Brasil?" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alexandre de Moraes como Ministro do Supremo Tribunal Federal?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.