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Elections·Colorado Primaries

CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

icon for CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Elections·Colorado Primaries

CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory

Kiros 20%+ 39%

Kiros 10–15% 39%

Kiros <5% 38%

Kiros 5–10% 30%

Polymarket
NOVO

Kiros 20%+ 39%

Kiros 10–15% 39%

Kiros <5% 38%

Kiros 5–10% 30%

Polymarket
NOVO

Kiros 20%+

$58 Vol.

39%

Kiros 15–20%

$45 Vol.

27%

Kiros 10–15%

$43 Vol.

39%

Kiros 5–10%

$49 Vol.

30%

Kiros <5%

$87 Vol.

38%

DeGette <5%

$86 Vol.

24%

DeGette 5%+

$86 Vol.

1%

Other

$20 Vol.

20%

The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.

The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$474
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Democratic primary for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District pits 15-term incumbent Diana DeGette against progressive challenger Melat Kiros and third candidate Wanda James on June 30. Recent assembly results gave Kiros a strong 67-33 endorsement edge, while a late Data for Progress poll showed her leading DeGette 41-36 among likely primary voters. These developments, combined with Kiros’s Bernie Sanders endorsement and focus on healthcare, housing, and foreign policy contrasts, have narrowed what was once viewed as a comfortable incumbent advantage and produced a fragmented field. The distribution of market probabilities across narrow Kiros and DeGette margin bands, alongside elevated “Other” pricing, reflects trader assessment that late voter turnout, undecided shares, and any James vote split could produce separation or keep the outcome within a few points.

The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$474
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Colorado Democratic primary elections are scheduled for June 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the C0-01 Democratic primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Colorado, such as official statewide results published by the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kiros 20%+" at 39%, followed by "Kiros 10–15%" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory" is "Kiros 20%+" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kiros 10–15%" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.