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OrçAmento previsões e probabilidades

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Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

42%

$6.1K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

61%

Ed Miliband

$416K Vol.

$285K Liq.

11

Ends em 6 meses

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 24 - June 28)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 24 - June 28)

94%

Budget

$3.8K Vol.

$325 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

36%

Pete Hegseth

$5.4K Vol.

$69.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

19%

7+

$4.1K Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

38%

$84 Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

30%

$1.5K Vol.

$787 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like OrçAmento.

Polymarket currently hosts 7 active markets for OrçAmento that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $437K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 61% chance to Ed Miliband. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on OrçAmento predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.