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PM previsões e probabilidades

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Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

98%

December 31

$691K Vol.

$71.0K Liq.

319

Ends em 6 meses

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$495K Vol.

$41.0K Liq.

68

Ends em 6 meses

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

$328K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

111

Ends em 6 meses

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

98%

December 31

$13.6K Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

32%

$81.4K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

24

Ends em 6 meses

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by...?

1%

June 30

$11.6K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 1 dia

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 29 - July 4)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 29 - July 4)

78%

July 3

$74 Vol.

$508 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

14%

$791 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

1%

Nigel Farage

$15M Vol.

$226K today

$3M Liq.

129

Ends em 6 meses

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

53%

Giorgia Meloni

$40.5K Vol.

$236K Liq.

12

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

14%

$19.8K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

23%

France

$3B Vol.

$83M today

$281M Liq.

1,922

Ends em 21 dias

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

97%

Abiy Ahmed

$79M Vol.

$7M today

$150K Liq.

11

Ends há 28 dias

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

1%

Any U.S. House member

$16M Vol.

$4M today

$398K Liq.

10

Ends em 1 dia

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

92%

Starmer - UK PM

$7M Vol.

$2M today

$949K Liq.

93

Ends em 6 meses

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

37%

France

$6M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

14

Ends em 21 dias

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

52%

Lionel Messi

$36M Vol.

$1M today

$6M Liq.

128

Ends em 21 dias

F1 Drivers' Champion

F1 Drivers' Champion

56%

Kimi Antonelli

$180M Vol.

$1M today

$14M Liq.

234

Ends em 5 meses

South Africa vs. Canada - More Markets

South Africa vs. Canada - More Markets

92%

Over

$1M Vol.

$1M today

$6M Liq.

Ends em cerca de 6 horas

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

9%

December 31

$61M Vol.

$973K today

$1M Liq.

1,609

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 2638 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 23% chance to France. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.