Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?

Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?

icon for Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?

Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?

$575,806 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$575,806 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro de 2026

$189,978 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pedro Sánchez remains Spain’s prime minister in a minority coalition that lost its working majority after Junts withdrew support in late 2025, forcing repeated rollovers of the 2023 budget and rejection of later spending plans.** Multiple corruption cases have implicated close PSOE figures, including former ministers sentenced in mid-2026, alongside investigations touching family members and party financing. The most immediate pressure stems from the July 2026 Ceuta migrant surge from Morocco, which triggered criticism over response timing, intelligence handling, and ongoing humanitarian and security fallout still dominating September headlines. Sánchez has rejected opposition calls for resignation or a confidence vote and stated his intent to reach the August 2027 election deadline, though analysts note that further coalition erosion, budget failures, or sustained public backlash could prompt an earlier dissolution. Polls show PSOE competitive but facing a broader rightward shift.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$575,806
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pedro Sánchez remains Spain’s prime minister in a minority coalition that lost its working majority after Junts withdrew support in late 2025, forcing repeated rollovers of the 2023 budget and rejection of later spending plans.** Multiple corruption cases have implicated close PSOE figures, including former ministers sentenced in mid-2026, alongside investigations touching family members and party financing. The most immediate pressure stems from the July 2026 Ceuta migrant surge from Morocco, which triggered criticism over response timing, intelligence handling, and ongoing humanitarian and security fallout still dominating September headlines. Sánchez has rejected opposition calls for resignation or a confidence vote and stated his intent to reach the August 2027 election deadline, though analysts note that further coalition erosion, budget failures, or sustained public backlash could prompt an earlier dissolution. Polls show PSOE competitive but facing a broader rightward shift.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$575,806
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 16%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?" has generated $575.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pedro Sánchez como primeiro-ministro da Espanha por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.