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Reino Unido previsões e probabilidades

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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

98%

Andy Burnham

$15M Vol.

$226K today

$3M Liq.

129

Ends em 6 meses

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

6%

United States

$1M Vol.

$208K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?

61%

Ed Miliband

$414K Vol.

$277K Liq.

11

Ends em 6 meses

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

96%

Turkey

$526K Vol.

$84.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

<1%

$3M Vol.

$55.6K today

$126K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

23%

United Kingdom

$346K Vol.

$189K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

46%

No next Foreign Secretary in 2026

$63.2K Vol.

$208K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner

91%

Bev Craig

$151K Vol.

$426K Liq.

5

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Starmer officially leaves office by…?

Starmer officially leaves office by…?

99%

July 31

$76.0K Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

100%

Andy Burnham

$110K Vol.

$115K Liq.

8

Ends em 6 meses

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

Next UK Home Secretary in 2026?

77%

No next Home Secretary in 2026

$15.0K Vol.

$151K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

Next UK Prime Minister appointed by…?

99%

September 30

$61.2K Vol.

$104K Liq.

3

Ends em 3 meses

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes

Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes

79%

Bev Craig

$7.9K Vol.

$134K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

99%

Shabana Mahmood

$21.5K Vol.

$127K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?

Burnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?

95%

$19.1K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

6%

$5.4K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

5

Ends em 6 meses

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

7%

$632 Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Bank of England decision in September?

Bank of England decision in September?

94%

No change

$5.8K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

2%

$69.5K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

29%

$5.6K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Reino Unido.

Polymarket currently hosts 32 active markets for Reino Unido that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $21.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Andy Burnham. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Reino Unido predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.