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Tarifas previsões e probabilidades

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US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

69%

$42.5K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 17 dias

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

3%

$46.2K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

10%

$11.5K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

7%

$33.6K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

80%

Iran

$472K Vol.

$357K today

$163K Liq.

29

Ends em 1 dia

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

<1%

Street

$272K Vol.

$130K today

$432K Liq.

31

Ends há 4 dias

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

72%

US-China Board of Trade

$14.4K Vol.

$45.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

88%

Boeing Aircraft Purchase

$11.5K Vol.

$52.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 dias

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

123

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

99%

$715

$1.6K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

72%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

100%

$740

$83.2K Vol.

$82.5K today

$3M Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 hora

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

26%

$5.6K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

51%

$97

$2.5K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 24 horas

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$642K Vol.

$40.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

51%

↓ 75,000

$13M Vol.

$945K today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends em 18 dias

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

90%

$21.4K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 13?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 13?

100%

$100

$70.7K Vol.

$70.2K today

$165K Liq.

Ends há 18 minutos

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tarifas.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Tarifas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x China tariff agreement by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tarifas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.