Skip to main content

Economia previsões e probabilidades

·
Decisão do Fed em junho?

Decisão do Fed em junho?

98%

Sem alteração

$26M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

69%

0 (0 bps)

$26M Vol.

$669K today

$1M Liq.

71

Ends em 8 meses

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de maio?

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de maio?

7%

Sim

$13M Vol.

$642K today

$600K Liq.

1

Ends em 17 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$15M Vol.

$514K today

$2M Liq.

2

Ends em 1 dia

A MicroStrategy vende qualquer Bitcoin até ___ ?

A MicroStrategy vende qualquer Bitcoin até ___ ?

86%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$26M Vol.

$467K today

$163K Liq.

410

Ends há 4 meses

Maior empresa no final de junho?

Maior empresa no final de junho?

86%

NVIDIA

$12M Vol.

$250K today

$1M Liq.

80

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de junho?

O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de junho?

32%

Sim

$5M Vol.

$201K today

$280K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

95%

NVIDIA

$4M Vol.

$195K today

$1M Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Decisão do Fed em julho?

Decisão do Fed em julho?

92%

Sem mudança

$5M Vol.

$129K today

$625K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Quantos senadores votarão no candidato a presidente do Fed de Trump?

Quantos senadores votarão no candidato a presidente do Fed de Trump?

98%

54

$195K Vol.

$128K today

$156K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

78%

$87.6K Vol.

$135K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Quão alta será a inflação em 2026?
Economy·Inflation

Quão alta será a inflação em 2026?

97%

Acima de 4%

$908K Vol.

$61.2K Liq.

28

Ends em 8 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

46%

$62.8K Vol.

$95.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

95%

Alphabet

$184K Vol.

$173K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

46%

20+

$373K Vol.

$43.1K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

A nomeação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed foi retirada até 15 de maio?

A nomeação de Kevin Warsh para presidente do Fed foi retirada até 15 de maio?

<1%

Sim

$306K Vol.

$118K Liq.

1

Ends em 1 dia

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

85%

Aumento de 25 pontos base

$232K Vol.

$66.3K Liq.

Ends em 28 dias

Crescimento anual do PIB da China em 2026
Economy·GDP

Crescimento anual do PIB da China em 2026

76%

4,0–5,0%

$516K Vol.

$145K Liq.

7

Ends há 3 meses

A produção venezuelana de petróleo bruto atingirá __ barris por dia em 2026?

A produção venezuelana de petróleo bruto atingirá __ barris por dia em 2026?

97%

1,1 milhão

$110K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

7

Ends em 10 meses

3rd largest company end of May?

3rd largest company end of May?

97%

Apple

$115K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economia.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Economia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Decisão do Fed em junho?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $135.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “O tráfego no Estreito de Ormuz volta ao normal no final de maio?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Sem alteração. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.