Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

out 29

dez 9

out 29

dez 9

Sim

46% chance

$7,503,869 Vol.

9 dez 2026

Sim

46% chance

$7,503,869 Vol.

9 dez 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

Aumento da Taxa Fed até a Reunião de Outubro de 2026?

40%

Sim

A taxa máxima do Fed chegará a 4,25% ou mais antes de 2027?

15%

Sim

Não haverá alteração nas taxas de juros do Fed após a reunião de dezembro de 2026?

68%

Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" has generated $7.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" is "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $7.5 million traded on “Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 46¢ for "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" in the "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 46% chance that "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 46¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 54¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 8, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" market has an active community of 107 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Livro de Pedidos

Livro de Pedidos

Relacionado

Frequently Asked Questions

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Livro de Pedidos

Livro de Pedidos

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Relacionado

Comentários (107)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?"?

What are the current odds for "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?"?

How will "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?"?

What does a price of 46¢ for "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" mean?

When does the "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?"?

What is Polymarket?