Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 99% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window, reflecting his April 29 public confirmation that he will step aside at term's end while remaining on the Board of Governors until 2028. This aligns with historical precedent where Fed Chairs typically exit upon term completion, amplified by the incoming administration's nomination process for a successor amid ongoing Senate confirmation dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a prolonged vacancy leading to Powell serving as acting Chair, late-breaking health issues, or an unprecedented re-nomination, though institutional norms and Powell's statements make such shifts unlikely absent major disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 99.0%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 13–19 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
$122,802 Vol.
$122,802 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
99%
May 23–29
<1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
<1%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
<1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
<1%
May 15–22 99.0%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 13–19 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
$122,802 Vol.
$122,802 Vol.
3 jul 2026
May 15–22
$32,044 Vol.
99%
May 23–29
$6,325 Vol.
<1%
May 30–June 5
$5,938 Vol.
1%
June 6–12
$7,136 Vol.
<1%
June 13–19
$6,713 Vol.
1%
June 20–26
$9,622 Vol.
<1%
June 27–July 3
$3,216 Vol.
<1%
After July 3
$14,856 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 99% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window, reflecting his April 29 public confirmation that he will step aside at term's end while remaining on the Board of Governors until 2028. This aligns with historical precedent where Fed Chairs typically exit upon term completion, amplified by the incoming administration's nomination process for a successor amid ongoing Senate confirmation dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a prolonged vacancy leading to Powell serving as acting Chair, late-breaking health issues, or an unprecedented re-nomination, though institutional norms and Powell's statements make such shifts unlikely absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$122,802Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 99% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window, reflecting his April 29 public confirmation that he will step aside at term's end while remaining on the Board of Governors until 2028. This aligns with historical precedent where Fed Chairs typically exit upon term completion, amplified by the incoming administration's nomination process for a successor amid ongoing Senate confirmation dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a prolonged vacancy leading to Powell serving as acting Chair, late-breaking health issues, or an unprecedented re-nomination, though institutional norms and Powell's statements make such shifts unlikely absent major disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$122,802Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 99% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window, reflecting his April 29 public confirmation that he will step aside at term's end while remaining on the Board of Governors until 2028. This aligns with historical precedent where Fed Chairs typically exit upon term completion, amplified by the incoming administration's nomination process for a successor amid ongoing Senate confirmation dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a prolonged vacancy leading to Powell serving as acting Chair, late-breaking health issues, or an unprecedented re-nomination, though institutional norms and Powell's statements make such shifts unlikely absent major disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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