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Economia·Jerome Powell

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
Economia·Jerome Powell

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

jun 17

jun 17

0 63%

1 17%

2 10%

4+ 7.8%

Polymarket

$12,334 Vol.

0 63%

1 17%

2 10%

4+ 7.8%

Polymarket

$12,334 Vol.

0

$10,859 Vol.

63%

1

$357 Vol.

17%

2

$74 Vol.

10%

3

$156 Vol.

5%

4+

$889 Vol.

8%

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Polymarket traders price a 62.5% implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting consensus on restored unity following the rare four dissents—highest since 1992—at the April 28-29 session, where three regional presidents opposed the easing bias amid sticky inflation above 2% and one governor favored a rate cut from the current 3.50%-3.75% fed funds target range. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh's May 14 confirmation (54-45 Senate vote) bolsters expectations of policy cohesion, as recent official statements emphasize balanced two-sided risks without fresh fractures. Traders eye May CPI and nonfarm payrolls data ahead of the meeting for potential sentiment shifts.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,334
Data de Término
17 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Polymarket traders price a 62.5% implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting consensus on restored unity following the rare four dissents—highest since 1992—at the April 28-29 session, where three regional presidents opposed the easing bias amid sticky inflation above 2% and one governor favored a rate cut from the current 3.50%-3.75% fed funds target range. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh's May 14 confirmation (54-45 Senate vote) bolsters expectations of policy cohesion, as recent official statements emphasize balanced two-sided risks without fresh fractures. Traders eye May CPI and nonfarm payrolls data ahead of the meeting for potential sentiment shifts.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,334
Data de Término
17 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0" at 63%, followed by "1" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" has generated $12.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" is "0" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.