Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.6% "No" on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell facing federal charges by June 30, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice dropping its criminal probe on April 24, 2026, after a federal judge ruled in March that prosecutors had produced "essentially zero evidence" of wrongdoing related to $2.5 billion Fed building renovation cost overruns. The investigation, launched in January amid political tensions over interest rate policy, saw subpoenas quashed and no indictments pursued by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro's office. With Powell's term nearing its May end and no new DOJ announcements, special counsel activity, or grand jury developments in the past three weeks, barriers to fresh charges remain high. Late-breaking scandals, congressional referrals, or reopened probes could theoretically shift odds, though institutional independence limits such risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$265,854 Vol.
$265,854 Vol.
Sim
$265,854 Vol.
$265,854 Vol.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.6% "No" on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell facing federal charges by June 30, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice dropping its criminal probe on April 24, 2026, after a federal judge ruled in March that prosecutors had produced "essentially zero evidence" of wrongdoing related to $2.5 billion Fed building renovation cost overruns. The investigation, launched in January amid political tensions over interest rate policy, saw subpoenas quashed and no indictments pursued by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro's office. With Powell's term nearing its May end and no new DOJ announcements, special counsel activity, or grand jury developments in the past three weeks, barriers to fresh charges remain high. Late-breaking scandals, congressional referrals, or reopened probes could theoretically shift odds, though institutional independence limits such risks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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