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icon for O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?

O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?

icon for O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?

O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

1% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
1% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The near-certain trader consensus against abolition of the Federal Reserve before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of viable legislative momentum. Bills such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act (H.R. 1846 and companion Senate measure) introduced in the 119th Congress remain stalled in committee with no floor action or broad bipartisan backing. Institutional continuity, procedural requirements for bicameral passage and presidential approval, and cross-party recognition of the central bank's role in monetary policy and financial stability further reinforce this view. Even amid executive efforts to influence Fed governance or regulatory scope, no structural changes approaching outright repeal have advanced. Limited scenarios that could still shift odds include an unforeseen economic crisis prompting rapid congressional overhaul or an unprecedented alignment of unified government support for dissolution, though both remain remote within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,192
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The near-certain trader consensus against abolition of the Federal Reserve before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of viable legislative momentum. Bills such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act (H.R. 1846 and companion Senate measure) introduced in the 119th Congress remain stalled in committee with no floor action or broad bipartisan backing. Institutional continuity, procedural requirements for bicameral passage and presidential approval, and cross-party recognition of the central bank's role in monetary policy and financial stability further reinforce this view. Even amid executive efforts to influence Fed governance or regulatory scope, no structural changes approaching outright repeal have advanced. Limited scenarios that could still shift odds include an unforeseen economic crisis prompting rapid congressional overhaul or an unprecedented alignment of unified government support for dissolution, though both remain remote within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,192
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 1% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 1¢, the market collectively assigns a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?" is 1% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.