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icon for Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

icon for Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

$4,840,638 Vol.

14 mai 2026
Polymarket

$4,840,638 Vol.

Polymarket

14 de maio

$2,918,700 Vol.

1%

15 de maio

$488,199 Vol.

16%

16 de maio

$243,402 Vol.

97%

31 de maio

$71,353 Vol.

100%

30 de junho

$123,601 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, positioning President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh to assume the role following Senate confirmation on May 13.** Traders anticipate a seamless transition, as Powell confirmed in late April he will step aside from the chairmanship but remain on the Fed Board of Governors until January 2028 amid Trump administration legal pressures and probes into Fed operations. The president lacks authority to remove a sitting chair without cause, upholding Fed independence precedents, though tensions persisted through nomination delays and committee votes in April. No resignation occurred; the outcome aligns with term limits, with Warsh's swearing-in expected imminently post-expiration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,840,638
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026, positioning President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh to assume the role following Senate confirmation on May 13.** Traders anticipate a seamless transition, as Powell confirmed in late April he will step aside from the chairmanship but remain on the Fed Board of Governors until January 2028 amid Trump administration legal pressures and probes into Fed operations. The president lacks authority to remove a sitting chair without cause, upholding Fed independence precedents, though tensions persisted through nomination delays and committee votes in April. No resignation occurred; the outcome aligns with term limits, with Warsh's swearing-in expected imminently post-expiration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,840,638
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de maio" at 100%, followed by "30 de junho" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?" has generated $4.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?" is "31 de maio" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.