Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15, implying about 12-15 daily tweets, aligned with his established X cadence of 10-15 posts per day during active periods, as seen in the prior May 1-8 window. This positioning stems from a recent sharp dip—Musk managed only five posts on May 11 and sparse activity on May 12—pulling odds away from higher brackets like 140+ while boosting 80-99 to 14.9%. Standout viral moments, such as his bizarre May 10 tweet listing "Bitches. Money. No Taxes. Party" that racked up 48 million views, sustained engagement without volume spikes. With three days left through May 15, a rebound tied to SpaceX announcements or political commentary could shift trajectories, underscoring the unpredictable nature of Musk's social media habits that fuel cultural conversations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado100-119 49.6%
120-139 26.5%
80-99 14.0%
140-159 7.4%
$7,416,198 Vol.
$7,416,198 Vol.
80-99
14%
100-119
50%
120-139
27%
140-159
7%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
100-119 49.6%
120-139 26.5%
80-99 14.0%
140-159 7.4%
$7,416,198 Vol.
$7,416,198 Vol.
80-99
14%
100-119
50%
120-139
27%
140-159
7%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15, implying about 12-15 daily tweets, aligned with his established X cadence of 10-15 posts per day during active periods, as seen in the prior May 1-8 window. This positioning stems from a recent sharp dip—Musk managed only five posts on May 11 and sparse activity on May 12—pulling odds away from higher brackets like 140+ while boosting 80-99 to 14.9%. Standout viral moments, such as his bizarre May 10 tweet listing "Bitches. Money. No Taxes. Party" that racked up 48 million views, sustained engagement without volume spikes. With three days left through May 15, a rebound tied to SpaceX announcements or political commentary could shift trajectories, underscoring the unpredictable nature of Musk's social media habits that fuel cultural conversations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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