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icon for Caso confirmado de hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?

Caso confirmado de hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?

icon for Caso confirmado de hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?

Caso confirmado de hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?

mai 15

mai 15

Sim

22% chance
Polymarket

$745,038 Vol.

Sim

22% chance
Polymarket

$745,038 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$745,038
Data de Término
15 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$746,226
Data de Término
15 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Caso confirmado de hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Caso confirmado de Hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Caso confirmado de hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?" has generated $745K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Caso confirmado de hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Caso confirmado de hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?" is "Caso confirmado de Hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Caso confirmado de hantavírus nos EUA até 15 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.