Current National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project an overnight low near 78°F in Miami on May 17, driven by a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting light southeasterly flow, modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points holding in the mid-70s. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology where Miami International Airport normals show average lows of 76°F, but recent dry air advection has slightly elevated minimums. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 78-79°F and 76-77°F brackets against potential shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter surface heat retention by 1-2°F before dawn. Updated NWS Miami and NOAA model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 17 de maio?
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 18.6%
80-81°F 18%
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
1%
30-31°C
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou mais
<1%
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 18.6%
80-81°F 18%
73°F ou menos
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
1%
30-31°C
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus project an overnight low near 78°F in Miami on May 17, driven by a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting light southeasterly flow, modest radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points holding in the mid-70s. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology where Miami International Airport normals show average lows of 76°F, but recent dry air advection has slightly elevated minimums. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 78-79°F and 76-77°F brackets against potential shifts in cloud cover or wind speed that could alter surface heat retention by 1-2°F before dawn. Updated NWS Miami and NOAA model runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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