Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate mild spring conditions across the Korean Peninsula, with Seoul’s overnight lows most likely settling in the 15–17°C range on May 20 due to moderating northerly flow and limited cloud cover. These temperatures align with climatological averages for late May, when radiative cooling under clear skies typically produces the day’s minimum just before dawn. Key variables that could shift outcomes by a degree or two include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local wind speeds that enhance or suppress urban heat retention, and minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture. Updated guidance issued in the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum, as ensembles currently show only modest spread around this central tendency.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 20 de maio?
16°C 24%
17°C 24%
15°C 20%
18°C 19%
12°C ou menos
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
13%
15°C
20%
16°C
24%
17°C
22%
18°C
19%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C ou mais
3%
16°C 24%
17°C 24%
15°C 20%
18°C 19%
12°C ou menos
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
13%
15°C
20%
16°C
24%
17°C
22%
18°C
19%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C ou mais
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate mild spring conditions across the Korean Peninsula, with Seoul’s overnight lows most likely settling in the 15–17°C range on May 20 due to moderating northerly flow and limited cloud cover. These temperatures align with climatological averages for late May, when radiative cooling under clear skies typically produces the day’s minimum just before dawn. Key variables that could shift outcomes by a degree or two include the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, local wind speeds that enhance or suppress urban heat retention, and minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture. Updated guidance issued in the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum, as ensembles currently show only modest spread around this central tendency.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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