Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a persistent marine layer and onshore flow over Southern California, moderating daytime heating and favoring a Los Angeles high temperature on May 18 in the 68–72°F range. This pattern—common during the transition to summer—advects cool, moist air from the Pacific, limiting solar insolation and holding peaks near or slightly below the climatological May average of 74°F. Recent days have shown similar suppression, with observed highs of 66–69°F amid stratus clouds and 10–15 knot westerly winds. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though subtle shifts in upper-level ridging or marine layer depth could nudge the outcome toward the 70–71°F or 72–73°F bins. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings, with the next 48-hour forecast updates serving as the primary near-term catalysts for market movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 18 de maio?
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 23%
74°F or higher 19%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
23%
74°F or higher
19%
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 23%
74°F or higher 19%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
23%
74°F or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a persistent marine layer and onshore flow over Southern California, moderating daytime heating and favoring a Los Angeles high temperature on May 18 in the 68–72°F range. This pattern—common during the transition to summer—advects cool, moist air from the Pacific, limiting solar insolation and holding peaks near or slightly below the climatological May average of 74°F. Recent days have shown similar suppression, with observed highs of 66–69°F amid stratus clouds and 10–15 knot westerly winds. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though subtle shifts in upper-level ridging or marine layer depth could nudge the outcome toward the 70–71°F or 72–73°F bins. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings, with the next 48-hour forecast updates serving as the primary near-term catalysts for market movement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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