Trader consensus favors 33°C at 41% implied probability over 32°C at 33% for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast of 29–30°C highs under partly cloudy conditions with 70–95% precipitation risk from lingering transitional monsoon moisture, tempered by the city's pronounced urban heat island effect amplifying equatorial solar insolation. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show a 1–2°C spread in peak afternoon temperatures amid high humidity (80–90%) and light winds, with uncertainty hinging on whether light showers or thundery bursts arrive before or after 2–4 p.m. peak heating—early cooling caps at 32°C, delayed clearing pushes to 33°C. Official Halim Perdanakusuma Airport readings will resolve; watch BMKG hourly updates through midday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 43%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 7.6%
$16,738 Vol.
$16,738 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
33%
33°C
43%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
31°C 7.6%
$16,738 Vol.
$16,738 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
33%
33°C
43%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 33°C at 41% implied probability over 32°C at 33% for Jakarta's highest temperature on May 16, driven by BMKG's latest forecast of 29–30°C highs under partly cloudy conditions with 70–95% precipitation risk from lingering transitional monsoon moisture, tempered by the city's pronounced urban heat island effect amplifying equatorial solar insolation. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show a 1–2°C spread in peak afternoon temperatures amid high humidity (80–90%) and light winds, with uncertainty hinging on whether light showers or thundery bursts arrive before or after 2–4 p.m. peak heating—early cooling caps at 32°C, delayed clearing pushes to 33°C. Official Halim Perdanakusuma Airport readings will resolve; watch BMKG hourly updates through midday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions