Traders' strong consensus on a high of 71°F or below for Denver on May 17 stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance, which project daytime temperatures peaking in the upper 60s to low 70s under a stable high-pressure ridge and modest northerly flow. These runs show limited surface heating due to seasonal spring moisture and cloud cover, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where Denver's daily highs average near 68°F. While model consensus is firm, modest uncertainty remains around afternoon clearing or minor warm-air advection that could nudge readings a degree or two higher, though current guidance assigns low probability to exceeding the 71°F threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Denver em 17 de maio?
71°F or below 93%
72-73°F 6%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$22,640 Vol.
$22,640 Vol.
71°F or below
93%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 93%
72-73°F 6%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$22,640 Vol.
$22,640 Vol.
71°F or below
93%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFTraders' strong consensus on a high of 71°F or below for Denver on May 17 stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance, which project daytime temperatures peaking in the upper 60s to low 70s under a stable high-pressure ridge and modest northerly flow. These runs show limited surface heating due to seasonal spring moisture and cloud cover, aligning with mid-May climatological norms where Denver's daily highs average near 68°F. While model consensus is firm, modest uncertainty remains around afternoon clearing or minor warm-air advection that could nudge readings a degree or two higher, though current guidance assigns low probability to exceeding the 71°F threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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