Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or below at 83.5% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a maximum of 24°C amid light rain and cloudy conditions. This marks a cooling trend following May 14's observed 29°C peak, as incoming moist air masses and increased cloud cover limit solar insolation and daytime heating, per official model guidance. Such below-average May highs—typically 26–28°C—reflect typical spring variability in northern China's frontal systems. While forecast models show strong agreement, minor adjustments remain possible ahead of tomorrow's observational data from Beijing's weather stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 16 de maio?
25°C ou menos 81%
26°C 8%
27°C 7%
28°C 2.0%
NOVO
$48,394 Vol.
NOVO
$48,394 Vol.
16 mai 2026
25°C ou menos
81%
26°C
8%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C ou mais
<1%
25°C ou menos 81%
26°C 8%
27°C 7%
28°C 2.0%
NOVO
$48,394 Vol.
NOVO
$48,394 Vol.
16 mai 2026
25°C ou menos
$6,005 Vol.
81%
26°C
$4,472 Vol.
8%
27°C
$4,804 Vol.
7%
28°C
$5,593 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5,200 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5,687 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,348 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,518 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,331 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,147 Vol.
<1%
35°C ou mais
$1,288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or below at 83.5% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a maximum of 24°C amid light rain and cloudy conditions. This marks a cooling trend following May 14's observed 29°C peak, as incoming moist air masses and increased cloud cover limit solar insolation and daytime heating, per official model guidance. Such below-average May highs—typically 26–28°C—reflect typical spring variability in northern China's frontal systems. While forecast models show strong agreement, minor adjustments remain possible ahead of tomorrow's observational data from Beijing's weather stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$48,394Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or below at 83.5% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a maximum of 24°C amid light rain and cloudy conditions. This marks a cooling trend following May 14's observed 29°C peak, as incoming moist air masses and increased cloud cover limit solar insolation and daytime heating, per official model guidance. Such below-average May highs—typically 26–28°C—reflect typical spring variability in northern China's frontal systems. While forecast models show strong agreement, minor adjustments remain possible ahead of tomorrow's observational data from Beijing's weather stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$48,394Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or below at 83.5% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a maximum of 24°C amid light rain and cloudy conditions. This marks a cooling trend following May 14's observed 29°C peak, as incoming moist air masses and increased cloud cover limit solar insolation and daytime heating, per official model guidance. Such below-average May highs—typically 26–28°C—reflect typical spring variability in northern China's frontal systems. While forecast models show strong agreement, minor adjustments remain possible ahead of tomorrow's observational data from Beijing's weather stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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