Trader consensus clustering around 34–35°C reflects Manila’s climatological peak in the dry season, when long-term May averages reach 33–34°C under typical partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Current PAGASA guidance shows near-normal temperatures and rainfall for mid-May 2026, with model runs favoring daytime maxima near 34°C as the default outcome; slight upward pressure toward 35°C arises from fair-weather persistence that limits convective cooling. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and localized showers, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies that allow readings to edge higher. Resolution hinges on official station data, with tomorrow’s PAGASA bulletin providing the final measurement under standard instrumentation protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 17 de maio?
35°C 39%
34°C 35%
33°C 16%
36°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
16%
34°C
35%
35°C
39%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C ou mais
1%
35°C 39%
34°C 35%
33°C 16%
36°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
29°C ou menos
$616 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$329 Vol.
1%
32°C
$144 Vol.
1%
33°C
$111 Vol.
16%
34°C
$286 Vol.
35%
35°C
$455 Vol.
39%
36°C
$530 Vol.
10%
37°C
$422 Vol.
2%
38°C
$157 Vol.
1%
39°C ou mais
$215 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clustering around 34–35°C reflects Manila’s climatological peak in the dry season, when long-term May averages reach 33–34°C under typical partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Current PAGASA guidance shows near-normal temperatures and rainfall for mid-May 2026, with model runs favoring daytime maxima near 34°C as the default outcome; slight upward pressure toward 35°C arises from fair-weather persistence that limits convective cooling. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and localized showers, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies that allow readings to edge higher. Resolution hinges on official station data, with tomorrow’s PAGASA bulletin providing the final measurement under standard instrumentation protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,627Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clustering around 34–35°C reflects Manila’s climatological peak in the dry season, when long-term May averages reach 33–34°C under typical partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Current PAGASA guidance shows near-normal temperatures and rainfall for mid-May 2026, with model runs favoring daytime maxima near 34°C as the default outcome; slight upward pressure toward 35°C arises from fair-weather persistence that limits convective cooling. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and localized showers, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies that allow readings to edge higher. Resolution hinges on official station data, with tomorrow’s PAGASA bulletin providing the final measurement under standard instrumentation protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,627Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLTrader consensus clustering around 34–35°C reflects Manila’s climatological peak in the dry season, when long-term May averages reach 33–34°C under typical partly cloudy conditions with isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Current PAGASA guidance shows near-normal temperatures and rainfall for mid-May 2026, with model runs favoring daytime maxima near 34°C as the default outcome; slight upward pressure toward 35°C arises from fair-weather persistence that limits convective cooling. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and localized showers, which can suppress peaks by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies that allow readings to edge higher. Resolution hinges on official station data, with tomorrow’s PAGASA bulletin providing the final measurement under standard instrumentation protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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