Environment Canada forecasts a high near 20°C for Toronto on May 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with trader consensus pricing that outcome at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 30%. This shift follows yesterday's cool 10°C maximum amid lingering low pressure and showers earlier in May, when regional temperatures ran 3–5°C below seasonal norms. High-resolution GEM and GFS model runs show consensus for mild upper-air ridging over southern Ontario, promoting daytime heating at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's official station—while capping extremes below 22°C due to insufficient instability. Hourly forecast updates through afternoon and real-time observations will refine final positioning amid typical May climatological highs of 18–20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 15 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 15 de maio?
20°C 87%
21°C 15%
22°C ou mais <1%
18°C <1%
$49,731 Vol.
$49,731 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
87%
21°C
15%
22°C ou mais
1%
20°C 87%
21°C 15%
22°C ou mais <1%
18°C <1%
$49,731 Vol.
$49,731 Vol.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
87%
21°C
15%
22°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada forecasts a high near 20°C for Toronto on May 15 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with trader consensus pricing that outcome at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 30%. This shift follows yesterday's cool 10°C maximum amid lingering low pressure and showers earlier in May, when regional temperatures ran 3–5°C below seasonal norms. High-resolution GEM and GFS model runs show consensus for mild upper-air ridging over southern Ontario, promoting daytime heating at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the market's official station—while capping extremes below 22°C due to insufficient instability. Hourly forecast updates through afternoon and real-time observations will refine final positioning amid typical May climatological highs of 18–20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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