Latest Météo-France guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centers Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at nearly 50% market-implied probability for that outcome within a tight 12–14°C cluster. A persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a cold front passage—marked by thunderstorms and wintry mix on May 13–14—sustains low-level stratus clouds, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation, capping daytime heating well below mid-May climatological norms near 19°C. Recent observations, including May 14 morning readings near 8°C at Paris-Montsouris station, reinforce this chilly pattern. New 12Z model runs today and hourly updates from official stations like Paris-Le Bourget could narrow the modest uncertainty before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 15 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 15 de maio?
13°C 50%
12°C 24%
14°C 21%
11°C 4.5%
NOVO
$36,302 Vol.
NOVO
$36,302 Vol.
15 mai 2026
9°C ou menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
24%
13°C
50%
14°C
21%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
13°C 50%
12°C 24%
14°C 21%
11°C 4.5%
NOVO
$36,302 Vol.
NOVO
$36,302 Vol.
15 mai 2026
9°C ou menos
$3,407 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,598 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,021 Vol.
5%
12°C
$4,408 Vol.
24%
13°C
$3,317 Vol.
50%
14°C
$4,660 Vol.
21%
15°C
$4,592 Vol.
4%
16°C
$2,897 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,881 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,942 Vol.
<1%
19°C ou mais
$3,600 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centers Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at nearly 50% market-implied probability for that outcome within a tight 12–14°C cluster. A persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a cold front passage—marked by thunderstorms and wintry mix on May 13–14—sustains low-level stratus clouds, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation, capping daytime heating well below mid-May climatological norms near 19°C. Recent observations, including May 14 morning readings near 8°C at Paris-Montsouris station, reinforce this chilly pattern. New 12Z model runs today and hourly updates from official stations like Paris-Le Bourget could narrow the modest uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$36,302Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centers Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at nearly 50% market-implied probability for that outcome within a tight 12–14°C cluster. A persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a cold front passage—marked by thunderstorms and wintry mix on May 13–14—sustains low-level stratus clouds, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation, capping daytime heating well below mid-May climatological norms near 19°C. Recent observations, including May 14 morning readings near 8°C at Paris-Montsouris station, reinforce this chilly pattern. New 12Z model runs today and hourly updates from official stations like Paris-Le Bourget could narrow the modest uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,302Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France guidance alongside ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centers Paris's highest temperature on May 15 at around 13°C, anchoring trader consensus at nearly 50% market-implied probability for that outcome within a tight 12–14°C cluster. A persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a cold front passage—marked by thunderstorms and wintry mix on May 13–14—sustains low-level stratus clouds, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation, capping daytime heating well below mid-May climatological norms near 19°C. Recent observations, including May 14 morning readings near 8°C at Paris-Montsouris station, reinforce this chilly pattern. New 12Z model runs today and hourly updates from official stations like Paris-Le Bourget could narrow the modest uncertainty before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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