Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts pinpoint a daytime high of 22°C at Esenboğa International Airport in Ankara today, driving the market's 97.5% implied probability for this outcome amid partly cloudy conditions escalating to scattered showers and thunderstorms, per recent yellow-coded warnings. Morning observations confirm cool starts around 12°C with increasing cloud cover, limiting solar heating in line with global models like ECMWF and GFS showing consensus within 1°C. Ankara's mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 21-23°C under similar continental spring patterns featuring moisture advection. A realistic challenge would require prolonged afternoon clearing and downslope winds boosting temperatures to 23°C or higher, though current steering currents favor persistent overcast skies; monitor MGM hourly updates through peak heating around 2-4 PM local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
22°C 91.9%
23°C 6.9%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$107,354 Vol.
$107,354 Vol.
22°C
92%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 91.9%
23°C 6.9%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$107,354 Vol.
$107,354 Vol.
22°C
92%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts pinpoint a daytime high of 22°C at Esenboğa International Airport in Ankara today, driving the market's 97.5% implied probability for this outcome amid partly cloudy conditions escalating to scattered showers and thunderstorms, per recent yellow-coded warnings. Morning observations confirm cool starts around 12°C with increasing cloud cover, limiting solar heating in line with global models like ECMWF and GFS showing consensus within 1°C. Ankara's mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 21-23°C under similar continental spring patterns featuring moisture advection. A realistic challenge would require prolonged afternoon clearing and downslope winds boosting temperatures to 23°C or higher, though current steering currents favor persistent overcast skies; monitor MGM hourly updates through peak heating around 2-4 PM local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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