Persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass advected by northwest winds are anchoring Amsterdam's daytime maximum near 13°C today, as confirmed by the latest KNMI observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Variable showers and limited insolation have suppressed warming well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–17°C, with model spreads converging on peaks between 12–14°C at Schiphol. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to 13°C, followed closely by 12°C and 14°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current forecast runs. Any unexpected afternoon clearing could nudge readings toward the upper end of that range, but fresh data releases from KNMI this afternoon will provide the final resolution inputs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
13°C 47%
12°C 23%
14°C 22%
15°C 4.5%
$20,150 Vol.
$20,150 Vol.
16 mai 2026
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
23%
13°C
47%
14°C
22%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 47%
12°C 23%
14°C 22%
15°C 4.5%
$20,150 Vol.
$20,150 Vol.
16 mai 2026
9°C
$1,389 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,202 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,962 Vol.
2%
12°C
$2,162 Vol.
23%
13°C
$2,609 Vol.
47%
14°C
$2,491 Vol.
22%
15°C
$1,136 Vol.
5%
16°C
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,080 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$2,053 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass advected by northwest winds are anchoring Amsterdam's daytime maximum near 13°C today, as confirmed by the latest KNMI observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Variable showers and limited insolation have suppressed warming well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–17°C, with model spreads converging on peaks between 12–14°C at Schiphol. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to 13°C, followed closely by 12°C and 14°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current forecast runs. Any unexpected afternoon clearing could nudge readings toward the upper end of that range, but fresh data releases from KNMI this afternoon will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$20,150Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass advected by northwest winds are anchoring Amsterdam's daytime maximum near 13°C today, as confirmed by the latest KNMI observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Variable showers and limited insolation have suppressed warming well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–17°C, with model spreads converging on peaks between 12–14°C at Schiphol. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to 13°C, followed closely by 12°C and 14°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current forecast runs. Any unexpected afternoon clearing could nudge readings toward the upper end of that range, but fresh data releases from KNMI this afternoon will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,150Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Persistent cloud cover and a cool maritime air mass advected by northwest winds are anchoring Amsterdam's daytime maximum near 13°C today, as confirmed by the latest KNMI observations and ECMWF ensemble guidance. Variable showers and limited insolation have suppressed warming well below the mid-May climatological average of 16–17°C, with model spreads converging on peaks between 12–14°C at Schiphol. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probability (46.5%) to 13°C, followed closely by 12°C and 14°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current forecast runs. Any unexpected afternoon clearing could nudge readings toward the upper end of that range, but fresh data releases from KNMI this afternoon will provide the final resolution inputs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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