Short-range ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models cluster Qingdao’s May 18 daily maximum near 19–21 °C, reflecting moderate southerly flow across the cooler Yellow Sea surface temperatures that suppress afternoon warming through enhanced marine-layer mixing and sea-breeze onset. Partly cloudy conditions limit peak insolation while historical mid-May climatology at official stations averages 20–22 °C, anchoring the tight probability distribution across the leading 19 °C, 20 °C, and 21 °C outcomes. Small differences in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C, explaining why trader consensus remains closely matched ahead of the final CMA observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 18 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 18 de maio?
20°C 24%
19°C 19%
21°C 18%
18°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
17%
19°C
19%
20°C
24%
21°C
18%
22°C
13%
23°C
5%
24°C ou mais
2%
20°C 24%
19°C 19%
21°C 18%
18°C 17%
NOVO
NOVO
18 mai 2026
14°C ou menos
$894 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$121 Vol.
1%
16°C
$289 Vol.
2%
17°C
$397 Vol.
6%
18°C
$48 Vol.
17%
19°C
$40 Vol.
19%
20°C
$35 Vol.
24%
21°C
$175 Vol.
18%
22°C
$61 Vol.
13%
23°C
$30 Vol.
5%
24°C ou mais
$32 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models cluster Qingdao’s May 18 daily maximum near 19–21 °C, reflecting moderate southerly flow across the cooler Yellow Sea surface temperatures that suppress afternoon warming through enhanced marine-layer mixing and sea-breeze onset. Partly cloudy conditions limit peak insolation while historical mid-May climatology at official stations averages 20–22 °C, anchoring the tight probability distribution across the leading 19 °C, 20 °C, and 21 °C outcomes. Small differences in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C, explaining why trader consensus remains closely matched ahead of the final CMA observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$2,121Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models cluster Qingdao’s May 18 daily maximum near 19–21 °C, reflecting moderate southerly flow across the cooler Yellow Sea surface temperatures that suppress afternoon warming through enhanced marine-layer mixing and sea-breeze onset. Partly cloudy conditions limit peak insolation while historical mid-May climatology at official stations averages 20–22 °C, anchoring the tight probability distribution across the leading 19 °C, 20 °C, and 21 °C outcomes. Small differences in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C, explaining why trader consensus remains closely matched ahead of the final CMA observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,121Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDShort-range ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models cluster Qingdao’s May 18 daily maximum near 19–21 °C, reflecting moderate southerly flow across the cooler Yellow Sea surface temperatures that suppress afternoon warming through enhanced marine-layer mixing and sea-breeze onset. Partly cloudy conditions limit peak insolation while historical mid-May climatology at official stations averages 20–22 °C, anchoring the tight probability distribution across the leading 19 °C, 20 °C, and 21 °C outcomes. Small differences in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the recorded high by 1–2 °C, explaining why trader consensus remains closely matched ahead of the final CMA observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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