Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 44%
14°C 30%
12°C 20%
15°C 7.3%
$10,438 Vol.
$10,438 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
20%
13°C
44%
14°C
30%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 44%
14°C 30%
12°C 20%
15°C 7.3%
$10,438 Vol.
$10,438 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
20%
13°C
44%
14°C
30%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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