Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta are keeping Shenzhen’s daytime maximum tightly constrained near 26–27°C for May 17, according to the latest consensus from China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions suppress solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (32.5%) and 27°C (27.5%). Minor differences in shower timing and intensity create the narrow spread among 26–28°C, while historical mid-May averages near 29–31°C underscore how today’s moisture-laden pattern is holding temperatures below climatological norms. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will resolve the market once hourly data confirm the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 17 de maio?
27°C 33%
26°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 9%
$21,543 Vol.
$21,543 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
33%
28°C
24%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 33%
26°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 9%
$21,543 Vol.
$21,543 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
33%
28°C
24%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZPersistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta are keeping Shenzhen’s daytime maximum tightly constrained near 26–27°C for May 17, according to the latest consensus from China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensemble runs. These conditions suppress solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (32.5%) and 27°C (27.5%). Minor differences in shower timing and intensity create the narrow spread among 26–28°C, while historical mid-May averages near 29–31°C underscore how today’s moisture-laden pattern is holding temperatures below climatological norms. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will resolve the market once hourly data confirm the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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