Latest ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF highlight persistent low-level cloud cover and isolated showers across the Paris region on May 17, reducing incoming solar radiation and limiting daytime heating to the 14–16 °C range. These conditions follow a cool, unsettled spring pattern, with surface winds under 15 km/h preventing efficient mixing of warmer air aloft. The narrow spread between the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of any brief cloud breaks, while probabilities for 17 °C or higher remain low given the stable marine influence from the northwest. Official maximum temperatures will be recorded at Paris-Montsouris, with final resolution hinging on the 24-hour observational window ending at midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 17 de maio?
15°C 38%
16°C 31%
14°C 20%
17°C 5%
$29,289 Vol.
$29,289 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
20%
15°C
38%
16°C
31%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 38%
16°C 31%
14°C 20%
17°C 5%
$29,289 Vol.
$29,289 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
20%
15°C
38%
16°C
31%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBLatest ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF highlight persistent low-level cloud cover and isolated showers across the Paris region on May 17, reducing incoming solar radiation and limiting daytime heating to the 14–16 °C range. These conditions follow a cool, unsettled spring pattern, with surface winds under 15 km/h preventing efficient mixing of warmer air aloft. The narrow spread between the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing of any brief cloud breaks, while probabilities for 17 °C or higher remain low given the stable marine influence from the northwest. Official maximum temperatures will be recorded at Paris-Montsouris, with final resolution hinging on the 24-hour observational window ending at midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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