Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 28–29°C due to Central Weather Administration guidance projecting near-normal mid-May conditions averaging 28–29°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent 24-hour updates from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show daytime highs of 28–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (5–15%), but slight divergences arise from potential sea breeze moderation and scattered showers capping peaks below 30°C, while sunnier breaks could push toward 30°C. Historical May data at Songshan confirms frequent 28–30°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on observed cloud cover and urban heat effects; watch CWA's afternoon update for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 16?
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C ou mais 16%
NOVO
NOVO
16 mai 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
24%
29°C
30%
30°C
22%
31°C ou mais
16%
29°C 30%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C ou mais 16%
NOVO
NOVO
16 mai 2026
21°C or below
$1,336 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$914 Vol.
1%
24°C
$872 Vol.
1%
25°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$605 Vol.
5%
27°C
$412 Vol.
16%
28°C
$605 Vol.
24%
29°C
$511 Vol.
30%
30°C
$666 Vol.
22%
31°C ou mais
$1,752 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 28–29°C due to Central Weather Administration guidance projecting near-normal mid-May conditions averaging 28–29°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent 24-hour updates from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show daytime highs of 28–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (5–15%), but slight divergences arise from potential sea breeze moderation and scattered showers capping peaks below 30°C, while sunnier breaks could push toward 30°C. Historical May data at Songshan confirms frequent 28–30°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on observed cloud cover and urban heat effects; watch CWA's afternoon update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$8,952Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 28–29°C due to Central Weather Administration guidance projecting near-normal mid-May conditions averaging 28–29°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent 24-hour updates from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show daytime highs of 28–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (5–15%), but slight divergences arise from potential sea breeze moderation and scattered showers capping peaks below 30°C, while sunnier breaks could push toward 30°C. Historical May data at Songshan confirms frequent 28–30°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on observed cloud cover and urban heat effects; watch CWA's afternoon update for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,952Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport on May 16, with implied probabilities clustered around 28–29°C due to Central Weather Administration guidance projecting near-normal mid-May conditions averaging 28–29°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent 24-hour updates from global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show daytime highs of 28–30°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation risk (5–15%), but slight divergences arise from potential sea breeze moderation and scattered showers capping peaks below 30°C, while sunnier breaks could push toward 30°C. Historical May data at Songshan confirms frequent 28–30°C outcomes, with resolution hinging on observed cloud cover and urban heat effects; watch CWA's afternoon update for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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