Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 24°C high in Chongqing on May 15 at 63.5% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF, which project persistent cloud cover and scattered showers capping diurnal heating. Recent observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows May 13-14 highs near 29-30°C amid clearer skies, but an advancing frontal system is introducing cooler mid-level air and precipitation, suppressing peaks below seasonal norms of 26-27°C for mid-May. Model runs updated within the last 24 hours reflect this shift, with minor upside risk to 25°C if showers clear by afternoon; expect final CMA guidance later today to refine trader positioning ahead of tomorrow's measurement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
24°C 62%
25°C 23%
26°C 12%
27°C or higher 1.7%
NOVO
$34,090 Vol.
NOVO
$34,090 Vol.
15 mai 2026
24°C
62%
25°C
23%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 62%
25°C 23%
26°C 12%
27°C or higher 1.7%
NOVO
$34,090 Vol.
NOVO
$34,090 Vol.
15 mai 2026
24°C
$1,483 Vol.
62%
25°C
$593 Vol.
23%
26°C
$1,389 Vol.
12%
27°C or higher
$5,036 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 24°C high in Chongqing on May 15 at 63.5% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF, which project persistent cloud cover and scattered showers capping diurnal heating. Recent observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows May 13-14 highs near 29-30°C amid clearer skies, but an advancing frontal system is introducing cooler mid-level air and precipitation, suppressing peaks below seasonal norms of 26-27°C for mid-May. Model runs updated within the last 24 hours reflect this shift, with minor upside risk to 25°C if showers clear by afternoon; expect final CMA guidance later today to refine trader positioning ahead of tomorrow's measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$34,090Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 24°C high in Chongqing on May 15 at 63.5% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF, which project persistent cloud cover and scattered showers capping diurnal heating. Recent observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows May 13-14 highs near 29-30°C amid clearer skies, but an advancing frontal system is introducing cooler mid-level air and precipitation, suppressing peaks below seasonal norms of 26-27°C for mid-May. Model runs updated within the last 24 hours reflect this shift, with minor upside risk to 25°C if showers clear by afternoon; expect final CMA guidance later today to refine trader positioning ahead of tomorrow's measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,090Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 24°C high in Chongqing on May 15 at 63.5% implied probability, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF, which project persistent cloud cover and scattered showers capping diurnal heating. Recent observational data from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows May 13-14 highs near 29-30°C amid clearer skies, but an advancing frontal system is introducing cooler mid-level air and precipitation, suppressing peaks below seasonal norms of 26-27°C for mid-May. Model runs updated within the last 24 hours reflect this shift, with minor upside risk to 25°C if showers clear by afternoon; expect final CMA guidance later today to refine trader positioning ahead of tomorrow's measurement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions