Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station, anchoring trader consensus on those two outcomes. Seasonal conditions typical for mid-May—moderate spring warming with limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover—support this narrow range, consistent with long-term climatological averages near 22 °C yet tempered by current model consensus showing subdued afternoon temperatures. Recent observational data and updated model runs have kept probabilities tightly clustered around 20 °C (48 %) and 21 °C (32.5 %), reflecting minimal upside risk from stronger solar heating or downslope winds that could push readings higher. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading recorded today, with any late-afternoon shift in wind patterns or clearing skies representing the primary variable still capable of altering the final outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 48%
21°C 27%
19°C 18%
22°C 2.6%
$24,206 Vol.
$24,206 Vol.
16 mai 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
18%
20°C
48%
21°C
27%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 48%
21°C 27%
19°C 18%
22°C 2.6%
$24,206 Vol.
$24,206 Vol.
16 mai 2026
14°C or below
$1,203 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,349 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,469 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,899 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,117 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,825 Vol.
18%
20°C
$2,296 Vol.
48%
21°C
$1,570 Vol.
27%
22°C
$2,579 Vol.
3%
23°C
$3,729 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$2,229 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station, anchoring trader consensus on those two outcomes. Seasonal conditions typical for mid-May—moderate spring warming with limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover—support this narrow range, consistent with long-term climatological averages near 22 °C yet tempered by current model consensus showing subdued afternoon temperatures. Recent observational data and updated model runs have kept probabilities tightly clustered around 20 °C (48 %) and 21 °C (32.5 %), reflecting minimal upside risk from stronger solar heating or downslope winds that could push readings higher. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading recorded today, with any late-afternoon shift in wind patterns or clearing skies representing the primary variable still capable of altering the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$24,206Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station, anchoring trader consensus on those two outcomes. Seasonal conditions typical for mid-May—moderate spring warming with limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover—support this narrow range, consistent with long-term climatological averages near 22 °C yet tempered by current model consensus showing subdued afternoon temperatures. Recent observational data and updated model runs have kept probabilities tightly clustered around 20 °C (48 %) and 21 °C (32.5 %), reflecting minimal upside risk from stronger solar heating or downslope winds that could push readings higher. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading recorded today, with any late-afternoon shift in wind patterns or clearing skies representing the primary variable still capable of altering the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,206Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20–21 °C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station, anchoring trader consensus on those two outcomes. Seasonal conditions typical for mid-May—moderate spring warming with limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover—support this narrow range, consistent with long-term climatological averages near 22 °C yet tempered by current model consensus showing subdued afternoon temperatures. Recent observational data and updated model runs have kept probabilities tightly clustered around 20 °C (48 %) and 21 °C (32.5 %), reflecting minimal upside risk from stronger solar heating or downslope winds that could push readings higher. Resolution hinges on the official highest reading recorded today, with any late-afternoon shift in wind patterns or clearing skies representing the primary variable still capable of altering the final outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions