Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, limiting daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 19–20 °C in Ankara tomorrow. With the city at roughly 890 m elevation on the Anatolian plateau, surface energy budgets will be further tempered by expected afternoon cloud cover and light northerly advection of cooler maritime air. This setup keeps the 19 °C outcome the narrow market leader at 38.5 % while the 18 °C and 21 °C brackets remain viable depending on the exact timing of any clearing. Historical mid-May averages of 21–22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern has shifted probabilities toward the lower end of that range, with final resolution hinging on the 12:00 local observation at Esenboğa Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 17 de maio?
19°C 39%
20°C 31%
18°C 15%
21°C 13%
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
39%
20°C
31%
21°C
13%
22°C
2%
23°C ou mais
1%
19°C 39%
20°C 31%
18°C 15%
21°C 13%
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
39%
20°C
31%
21°C
13%
22°C
2%
23°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACForecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, limiting daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 19–20 °C in Ankara tomorrow. With the city at roughly 890 m elevation on the Anatolian plateau, surface energy budgets will be further tempered by expected afternoon cloud cover and light northerly advection of cooler maritime air. This setup keeps the 19 °C outcome the narrow market leader at 38.5 % while the 18 °C and 21 °C brackets remain viable depending on the exact timing of any clearing. Historical mid-May averages of 21–22 °C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern has shifted probabilities toward the lower end of that range, with final resolution hinging on the 12:00 local observation at Esenboğa Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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