Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (31%) and 29°C (28.5%) as Busan's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts indicating peak highs in the upper 20s Celsius under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and enhanced solar insolation. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble spreads of 27–30°C, with 28°C favored in runs emphasizing stronger sea breezes moderating coastal warming, while 29°C gains from scenarios with lighter winds allowing greater boundary-layer heating. May 2026 temperatures have trended above seasonal norms (historical mid-May average ~23°C), but inherent forecast uncertainty from cloud development or timing of peak heating keeps lower outcomes viable; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 16 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Busan em 16 de maio?
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 17.0%
27°C 14%
$23,165 Vol.
$23,165 Vol.
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
1%
29°C 31%
28°C 30%
30°C 17.0%
27°C 14%
$23,165 Vol.
$23,165 Vol.
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
30%
29°C
31%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (31%) and 29°C (28.5%) as Busan's highest temperature on May 16, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts indicating peak highs in the upper 20s Celsius under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and enhanced solar insolation. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show ensemble spreads of 27–30°C, with 28°C favored in runs emphasizing stronger sea breezes moderating coastal warming, while 29°C gains from scenarios with lighter winds allowing greater boundary-layer heating. May 2026 temperatures have trended above seasonal norms (historical mid-May average ~23°C), but inherent forecast uncertainty from cloud development or timing of peak heating keeps lower outcomes viable; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official station measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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