Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Helsinki's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) clustering around 16°C but showing a 2–3°C spread. Recent 00Z runs indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds favoring mild highs near 17°C in the mean, yet some members predict increased cloud cover or Baltic Sea influence capping peaks at 15°C, while outliers allow for 18°C under sunnier scenarios. This mirrors typical mid-May variability in southern Finland, where diurnal heating and frontal timing drive 1–2°C swings; Finnish Meteorological Institute updates and new 12Z ensembles tomorrow could sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Helsínquia a 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Helsínquia a 17 de maio?
17°C 30%
16°C 27%
15°C 22%
18°C 12.3%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
22%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
15%
19°C or higher
5%
17°C 30%
16°C 27%
15°C 22%
18°C 12.3%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
22%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
15%
19°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Helsinki's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) clustering around 16°C but showing a 2–3°C spread. Recent 00Z runs indicate partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds favoring mild highs near 17°C in the mean, yet some members predict increased cloud cover or Baltic Sea influence capping peaks at 15°C, while outliers allow for 18°C under sunnier scenarios. This mirrors typical mid-May variability in southern Finland, where diurnal heating and frontal timing drive 1–2°C swings; Finnish Meteorological Institute updates and new 12Z ensembles tomorrow could sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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