A cold front sweeping through São Paulo has driven down trader-implied probabilities for high temperatures, with models from Brazilian meteorological services like INMET forecasting a maximum around 21°C today amid 100% precipitation chances and persistent cloud cover. This frontal system, linked to an early polar air mass, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, following warmer highs of 26°C earlier in the week. May climatology typically sees average highs of 22–24°C on the Saffir-Simpson declining trend, but current conditions favor the 20°C or below (40.5%) and 21–22°C outcomes due to enhanced humidity (around 59%) and rainfall. Observations through evening will confirm, with minimal upside risk for hotter readings absent unexpected clearing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 15 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 15 de maio?
20°C ou menos 41%
21°C 23%
22°C 18%
23°C 16%
$30,412 Vol.
$30,412 Vol.
15 mai 2026
20°C ou menos
41%
21°C
23%
22°C
18%
23°C
16%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
20°C ou menos 41%
21°C 23%
22°C 18%
23°C 16%
$30,412 Vol.
$30,412 Vol.
15 mai 2026
20°C ou menos
$5,060 Vol.
41%
21°C
$3,289 Vol.
23%
22°C
$3,892 Vol.
18%
23°C
$3,359 Vol.
16%
24°C
$2,412 Vol.
4%
25°C
$3,979 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,181 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,741 Vol.
1%
29°C
$793 Vol.
1%
30°C ou mais
$1,563 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A cold front sweeping through São Paulo has driven down trader-implied probabilities for high temperatures, with models from Brazilian meteorological services like INMET forecasting a maximum around 21°C today amid 100% precipitation chances and persistent cloud cover. This frontal system, linked to an early polar air mass, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, following warmer highs of 26°C earlier in the week. May climatology typically sees average highs of 22–24°C on the Saffir-Simpson declining trend, but current conditions favor the 20°C or below (40.5%) and 21–22°C outcomes due to enhanced humidity (around 59%) and rainfall. Observations through evening will confirm, with minimal upside risk for hotter readings absent unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$30,412Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.A cold front sweeping through São Paulo has driven down trader-implied probabilities for high temperatures, with models from Brazilian meteorological services like INMET forecasting a maximum around 21°C today amid 100% precipitation chances and persistent cloud cover. This frontal system, linked to an early polar air mass, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, following warmer highs of 26°C earlier in the week. May climatology typically sees average highs of 22–24°C on the Saffir-Simpson declining trend, but current conditions favor the 20°C or below (40.5%) and 21–22°C outcomes due to enhanced humidity (around 59%) and rainfall. Observations through evening will confirm, with minimal upside risk for hotter readings absent unexpected clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,412Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front sweeping through São Paulo has driven down trader-implied probabilities for high temperatures, with models from Brazilian meteorological services like INMET forecasting a maximum around 21°C today amid 100% precipitation chances and persistent cloud cover. This frontal system, linked to an early polar air mass, suppresses daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, following warmer highs of 26°C earlier in the week. May climatology typically sees average highs of 22–24°C on the Saffir-Simpson declining trend, but current conditions favor the 20°C or below (40.5%) and 21–22°C outcomes due to enhanced humidity (around 59%) and rainfall. Observations through evening will confirm, with minimal upside risk for hotter readings absent unexpected clearing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions