Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS cluster Guangzhou's May 17 peak near 28°C, with notable uncertainty from variable cloud cover and possible patchy rain that limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. This positions 28°C as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting the narrow range typical of mid-May pre-monsoon conditions in the Pearl River Delta where historical averages hover around 29–30°C but moisture influx often moderates extremes. Traders are monitoring the next CMA update and official station readings at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport for any late clearing that could push readings slightly higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou em 17 de maio?
28°C 38%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
26°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
18%
28°C
38%
29°C
26%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C ou mais
1%
28°C 38%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
26°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
17 mai 2026
22°C ou menos
$492 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,000 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,669 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$222 Vol.
2%
26°C
$221 Vol.
11%
27°C
$230 Vol.
18%
28°C
$363 Vol.
38%
29°C
$332 Vol.
26%
30°C
$277 Vol.
6%
31°C
$718 Vol.
2%
32°C ou mais
$459 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS cluster Guangzhou's May 17 peak near 28°C, with notable uncertainty from variable cloud cover and possible patchy rain that limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. This positions 28°C as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting the narrow range typical of mid-May pre-monsoon conditions in the Pearl River Delta where historical averages hover around 29–30°C but moisture influx often moderates extremes. Traders are monitoring the next CMA update and official station readings at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport for any late clearing that could push readings slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$5,983Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS cluster Guangzhou's May 17 peak near 28°C, with notable uncertainty from variable cloud cover and possible patchy rain that limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. This positions 28°C as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting the narrow range typical of mid-May pre-monsoon conditions in the Pearl River Delta where historical averages hover around 29–30°C but moisture influx often moderates extremes. Traders are monitoring the next CMA update and official station readings at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport for any late clearing that could push readings slightly higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,983Data de Término
17 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS cluster Guangzhou's May 17 peak near 28°C, with notable uncertainty from variable cloud cover and possible patchy rain that limits daytime solar heating and caps maximum temperatures. This positions 28°C as the leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 29°C and 27°C, reflecting the narrow range typical of mid-May pre-monsoon conditions in the Pearl River Delta where historical averages hover around 29–30°C but moisture influx often moderates extremes. Traders are monitoring the next CMA update and official station readings at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport for any late clearing that could push readings slightly higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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