Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF place Panama City’s May 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the climatological May average high of 31 °C at Marcos A. Gelabert Airport. Afternoon convective showers typical of the onset of the rainy season can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer periods allow readings to reach 33 °C or above. Relative humidity near 80 % and light steering winds limit extreme excursions, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 31–32 °C with only modest probability mass above 33 °C. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the balance between these outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 18 de maio?
31°C 34%
32°C 33%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
34%
32°C
33%
33°C or higher
21%
31°C 34%
32°C 33%
33°C or higher 21%
30°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
34%
32°C
33%
33°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGCurrent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF place Panama City’s May 18 maximum near 31–32 °C, aligning with the climatological May average high of 31 °C at Marcos A. Gelabert Airport. Afternoon convective showers typical of the onset of the rainy season can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer periods allow readings to reach 33 °C or above. Relative humidity near 80 % and light steering winds limit extreme excursions, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 31–32 °C with only modest probability mass above 33 °C. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the balance between these outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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