National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport projects a high temperature near 88°F on May 16, anchoring trader consensus with 46% implied probability on 88-89°F amid model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Mid-May climatology at MIA averages 86-87°F highs, with current upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and sunny skies that suppress cloud cover and allow efficient daytime heating despite sea breeze moderation. Recent soundings indicate low-level moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s, while lighter winds reduce coastal cooling; no tropical disturbances or fronts have disrupted this pattern in the past 48 hours. Ensemble spreads suggest 10-20% upside risk to 90-91°F if sea breeze delays, with peak readings typically observed 2-4 PM EDT—watch afternoon updates from NOAA for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 16%
92-93°F 7%
$11,661 Vol.
$11,661 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 16%
92-93°F 7%
$11,661 Vol.
$11,661 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport projects a high temperature near 88°F on May 16, anchoring trader consensus with 46% implied probability on 88-89°F amid model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Mid-May climatology at MIA averages 86-87°F highs, with current upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and sunny skies that suppress cloud cover and allow efficient daytime heating despite sea breeze moderation. Recent soundings indicate low-level moisture supporting highs in the upper 80s, while lighter winds reduce coastal cooling; no tropical disturbances or fronts have disrupted this pattern in the past 48 hours. Ensemble spreads suggest 10-20% upside risk to 90-91°F if sea breeze delays, with peak readings typically observed 2-4 PM EDT—watch afternoon updates from NOAA for refinements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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