Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather point to a high near 86–88°F in Miami on May 17, driven by a steady southeast flow of subtropical air under high pressure with partly cloudy skies and minimal afternoon convection. This setup aligns with May climatology—when average highs reach 84–85°F—but current model consensus shows slight warmth from lingering warmth after early-month heat, without a strong sea breeze or thunderstorm cooling expected until evening. Trader emphasis on the 86–87°F bin reflects the tight range in latest runs, with 88–89°F as the secondary outcome if mixing strengthens. Resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport reading, which typically peaks between 2–4 p.m. local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 17 de maio?
30-31°C 48%
88-89°F 25%
84-85°F 22%
32-32,8°C 9.8%
75°F ou menos
<1%
24-25°C
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
22%
30-31°C
43%
88-89°F
25%
32-32,8°C
10%
92-93°F
1%
94°F ou mais
1%
30-31°C 48%
88-89°F 25%
84-85°F 22%
32-32,8°C 9.8%
75°F ou menos
<1%
24-25°C
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
22%
30-31°C
43%
88-89°F
25%
32-32,8°C
10%
92-93°F
1%
94°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather point to a high near 86–88°F in Miami on May 17, driven by a steady southeast flow of subtropical air under high pressure with partly cloudy skies and minimal afternoon convection. This setup aligns with May climatology—when average highs reach 84–85°F—but current model consensus shows slight warmth from lingering warmth after early-month heat, without a strong sea breeze or thunderstorm cooling expected until evening. Trader emphasis on the 86–87°F bin reflects the tight range in latest runs, with 88–89°F as the secondary outcome if mixing strengthens. Resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport reading, which typically peaks between 2–4 p.m. local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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