Recent USGS monitoring indicates subdued global seismic activity heading into the May 18–24 window, with the most recent notable event a magnitude 6.0 quake on May 16 and no M6.5+ events in the preceding days. This quiet stretch aligns with typical short-term variability in plate-boundary stress release along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other major faults. Historical averages show roughly one to two magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each week, yet current observations and aftershock decay patterns support trader consensus favoring zero or one qualifying event. New daily USGS updates and real-time network data through the period will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 18 - May 24?
0 53%
1 35%
2 13%
3 4.9%
NOVO
NOVO
24 mai 2026
0
53%
1
35%
2
13%
3
5%
4
2%
5
1%
>5
<1%
0 53%
1 35%
2 13%
3 4.9%
NOVO
NOVO
24 mai 2026
0
$188 Vol.
53%
1
$88 Vol.
35%
2
$68 Vol.
13%
3
$246 Vol.
5%
4
$65 Vol.
2%
5
$103 Vol.
1%
>5
$243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent USGS monitoring indicates subdued global seismic activity heading into the May 18–24 window, with the most recent notable event a magnitude 6.0 quake on May 16 and no M6.5+ events in the preceding days. This quiet stretch aligns with typical short-term variability in plate-boundary stress release along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other major faults. Historical averages show roughly one to two magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each week, yet current observations and aftershock decay patterns support trader consensus favoring zero or one qualifying event. New daily USGS updates and real-time network data through the period will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Volume
$1,000Data de Término
24 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent USGS monitoring indicates subdued global seismic activity heading into the May 18–24 window, with the most recent notable event a magnitude 6.0 quake on May 16 and no M6.5+ events in the preceding days. This quiet stretch aligns with typical short-term variability in plate-boundary stress release along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other major faults. Historical averages show roughly one to two magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each week, yet current observations and aftershock decay patterns support trader consensus favoring zero or one qualifying event. New daily USGS updates and real-time network data through the period will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$1,000Data de Término
24 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 4:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent USGS monitoring indicates subdued global seismic activity heading into the May 18–24 window, with the most recent notable event a magnitude 6.0 quake on May 16 and no M6.5+ events in the preceding days. This quiet stretch aligns with typical short-term variability in plate-boundary stress release along the Pacific Ring of Fire and other major faults. Historical averages show roughly one to two magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes worldwide each week, yet current observations and aftershock decay patterns support trader consensus favoring zero or one qualifying event. New daily USGS updates and real-time network data through the period will determine final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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