Recent confirmation of a new Ebola outbreak in DRC's remote Ituri province, with 13 laboratory-confirmed cases and 65 deaths among 246 suspected infections as of May 15, has shaped trader views toward a low likelihood of a major international emergency declaration by June 30. Africa CDC has initiated urgent cross-border coordination with Uganda and South Sudan to strengthen surveillance, while sequencing proceeds on the non-Zaire strain. Historical precedent shows DRC health authorities, supported by WHO and partners, have contained most of the 17 prior outbreaks through rapid contact tracing and ring vaccination before widespread transmission occurs. Current conditions—limited geographic footprint, early detection, and established response infrastructure—reduce escalation risk, though ongoing monitoring of case growth and any exportation events could alter the outlook.