National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daily high of 64–65°F on May 15, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bin. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF had converged on modest daytime heating under persistent cloud cover and a moderating sea breeze, keeping temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of around 71°F. This outcome reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision given standard post-event quality checks. Only an unprecedented data anomaly at the official station could shift resolution to adjacent ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 15?
64-65°F 99.6%
70-71°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$144,252 Vol.
$144,252 Vol.
15 mai 2026
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 99.6%
70-71°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$144,252 Vol.
$144,252 Vol.
15 mai 2026
64-65°F
$23,185 Vol.
100%
66-67°F
$16,977 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$19,480 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$21,837 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$8,619 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$11,861 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daily high of 64–65°F on May 15, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bin. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF had converged on modest daytime heating under persistent cloud cover and a moderating sea breeze, keeping temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of around 71°F. This outcome reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision given standard post-event quality checks. Only an unprecedented data anomaly at the official station could shift resolution to adjacent ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$144,252Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daily high of 64–65°F on May 15, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bin. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF had converged on modest daytime heating under persistent cloud cover and a moderating sea breeze, keeping temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of around 71°F. This outcome reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision given standard post-event quality checks. Only an unprecedented data anomaly at the official station could shift resolution to adjacent ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$144,252Data de Término
15 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daily high of 64–65°F on May 15, aligning with the market's near-certain 99.7% implied probability for that bin. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF had converged on modest daytime heating under persistent cloud cover and a moderating sea breeze, keeping temperatures well below the mid-May climatological average of around 71°F. This outcome reflects verified surface measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision given standard post-event quality checks. Only an unprecedented data anomaly at the official station could shift resolution to adjacent ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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