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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?

Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?

Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

mai 15

mai 16

mai 17

30-31°C 32%

84-85°F 27%

88-89°F 19%

82-83°F 10.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

30-31°C 32%

84-85°F 27%

88-89°F 19%

82-83°F 10.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

79°F ou menos

$1,808 Vol.

2%

80-81°F

$807 Vol.

2%

82-83°F

$723 Vol.

10%

84-85°F

$259 Vol.

27%

30-31°C

$265 Vol.

32%

88-89°F

$243 Vol.

19%

90-91°F

$192 Vol.

8%

92-93°F

$97 Vol.

3%

94-95°F

$173 Vol.

1%

96-97°F

$335 Vol.

<1%

98°F ou mais

$349 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project New York City-area highs near 86°F on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and ample sunshine, explaining the trader consensus favoring 86-87°F (33%) over adjacent bins. Divergence arises from ECMWF's drier boundary layer implying slightly cooler 84-85°F peaks versus GFS's enhanced mixing supporting 88-89°F, with urban heat island effects at LaGuardia Airport station amplifying variability by 1-2°F. Recent 12Z runs on May 15 trended marginally warmer amid low-level southerly flow, though sea breeze potential adds uncertainty; monitor evening 00Z updates for refined probabilities before resolution. Historical May mid-afternoon peaks average 72°F, underscoring the warm anomaly.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,224
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and major model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project New York City-area highs near 86°F on May 17 under a strengthening upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and ample sunshine, explaining the trader consensus favoring 86-87°F (33%) over adjacent bins. Divergence arises from ECMWF's drier boundary layer implying slightly cooler 84-85°F peaks versus GFS's enhanced mixing supporting 88-89°F, with urban heat island effects at LaGuardia Airport station amplifying variability by 1-2°F. Recent 12Z runs on May 15 trended marginally warmer amid low-level southerly flow, though sea breeze potential adds uncertainty; monitor evening 00Z updates for refined probabilities before resolution. Historical May mid-afternoon peaks average 72°F, underscoring the warm anomaly.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,224
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30-31°C" at 33%, followed by "84-85°F" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?" is "30-31°C" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "84-85°F" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 17 de maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.