Current National Weather Service and numerical model guidance for central Texas points to a high near 86°F on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average daily maximum reaches 85–87°F. No significant cold fronts, moisture surges, or cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the risk of readings below 84°F minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 87% combined probability on 86°F or higher, aligns with this stable warm-sector setup and the absence of model disagreement in recent runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 17 de maio?
88°F or higher 56%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 9.0%
82-83°F 1.6%
$14,847 Vol.
$14,847 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
31%
88°F or higher
56%
88°F or higher 56%
86-87°F 31%
84-85°F 9.0%
82-83°F 1.6%
$14,847 Vol.
$14,847 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
31%
88°F or higher
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSCurrent National Weather Service and numerical model guidance for central Texas points to a high near 86°F on May 17 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, consistent with mid-May climatology where Austin’s average daily maximum reaches 85–87°F. No significant cold fronts, moisture surges, or cloud cover are expected to suppress temperatures, keeping the risk of readings below 84°F minimal. Trader consensus, reflected in the 87% combined probability on 86°F or higher, aligns with this stable warm-sector setup and the absence of model disagreement in recent runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions