Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather projections of an 86°F (30°C) high for Chengdu on May 16, underpin the tight trader consensus splitting implied probabilities near-evenly between 28°C (25%) and 29°C (25%), with 30°C close behind at 17.5%. Recent morning rain and drizzle on May 15, capping highs around 24°C, introduced soil moisture and cloud persistence risks that could cap afternoon peaks below 30°C via reduced solar insolation, while emerging high-pressure ridging and urban heat island effects in Chengdu favor 28-29°C outcomes. Historical mid-May averages near 27-28°C align with this clustering, but model spread on boundary layer mixing creates genuine uncertainty; monitor China Meteorological Administration hourly updates for resolution based on Shuangliu Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 16?
29°C 27%
28°C 25%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
NOVO
$12,091 Vol.
NOVO
$12,091 Vol.
16 mai 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
25%
29°C
27%
30°C
17%
31°C or higher
9%
29°C 27%
28°C 25%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
NOVO
$12,091 Vol.
NOVO
$12,091 Vol.
16 mai 2026
21°C or below
$1,041 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$966 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$639 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,219 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,227 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,000 Vol.
6%
27°C
$1,655 Vol.
16%
28°C
$1,160 Vol.
25%
29°C
$748 Vol.
27%
30°C
$1,180 Vol.
17%
31°C or higher
$1,256 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather projections of an 86°F (30°C) high for Chengdu on May 16, underpin the tight trader consensus splitting implied probabilities near-evenly between 28°C (25%) and 29°C (25%), with 30°C close behind at 17.5%. Recent morning rain and drizzle on May 15, capping highs around 24°C, introduced soil moisture and cloud persistence risks that could cap afternoon peaks below 30°C via reduced solar insolation, while emerging high-pressure ridging and urban heat island effects in Chengdu favor 28-29°C outcomes. Historical mid-May averages near 27-28°C align with this clustering, but model spread on boundary layer mixing creates genuine uncertainty; monitor China Meteorological Administration hourly updates for resolution based on Shuangliu Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volume
$12,091Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather projections of an 86°F (30°C) high for Chengdu on May 16, underpin the tight trader consensus splitting implied probabilities near-evenly between 28°C (25%) and 29°C (25%), with 30°C close behind at 17.5%. Recent morning rain and drizzle on May 15, capping highs around 24°C, introduced soil moisture and cloud persistence risks that could cap afternoon peaks below 30°C via reduced solar insolation, while emerging high-pressure ridging and urban heat island effects in Chengdu favor 28-29°C outcomes. Historical mid-May averages near 27-28°C align with this clustering, but model spread on boundary layer mixing creates genuine uncertainty; monitor China Meteorological Administration hourly updates for resolution based on Shuangliu Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,091Data de Término
16 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 14, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather projections of an 86°F (30°C) high for Chengdu on May 16, underpin the tight trader consensus splitting implied probabilities near-evenly between 28°C (25%) and 29°C (25%), with 30°C close behind at 17.5%. Recent morning rain and drizzle on May 15, capping highs around 24°C, introduced soil moisture and cloud persistence risks that could cap afternoon peaks below 30°C via reduced solar insolation, while emerging high-pressure ridging and urban heat island effects in Chengdu favor 28-29°C outcomes. Historical mid-May averages near 27-28°C align with this clustering, but model spread on boundary layer mixing creates genuine uncertainty; monitor China Meteorological Administration hourly updates for resolution based on Shuangliu Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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