Latest forecasts from AccuWeather and statistical models project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature between 27°C and 32°C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 21% apiece for 28°C and 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty from the Sichuan Basin's climatological temperature inversions and stratus clouds that cap solar insolation. Recent light rain and cloudy conditions through May 15 limited highs to 24-25°C, but partial clearing is anticipated under a weak high-pressure ridge, with model spread hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation—more sun favors 30°C+, while overcast skies align with historical mid-May averages around 27°C amid 47% cloudy cover. Watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and new ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs for resolution-clarifying updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 17 de maio?
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
17%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
4%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
13%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
17%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest forecasts from AccuWeather and statistical models project Chengdu's May 17 high temperature between 27°C and 32°C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly at 21% apiece for 28°C and 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on persistent uncertainty from the Sichuan Basin's climatological temperature inversions and stratus clouds that cap solar insolation. Recent light rain and cloudy conditions through May 15 limited highs to 24-25°C, but partial clearing is anticipated under a weak high-pressure ridge, with model spread hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation—more sun favors 30°C+, while overcast skies align with historical mid-May averages around 27°C amid 47% cloudy cover. Watch China Meteorological Administration bulletins and new ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs for resolution-clarifying updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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