Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 78% implied probability to Jeddah recording a high temperature of 37°C or higher on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs around 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations confirm the trend, with Jeddah highs reaching 41°C on May 6 and similar extremes on May 12–15 per National Center for Meteorology reports, reflecting the city's tropical desert climate where May averages 37°C peaks due to intense solar insolation and minimal cooling sea breezes. Hazy conditions from dust may slightly suppress peaks, but model consensus shows low risk below 36°C; watch for tomorrow's NCM updates and afternoon observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport for resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jeddah em 17 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Jeddah em 17 de maio?
37°C ou mais 83%
36°C 14%
35°C 3.6%
34°C 1.2%
$28,105 Vol.
$28,105 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
14%
37°C ou mais
78%
37°C ou mais 83%
36°C 14%
35°C 3.6%
34°C 1.2%
$28,105 Vol.
$28,105 Vol.
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
14%
37°C ou mais
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNTrader consensus on Polymarket gives an 78% implied probability to Jeddah recording a high temperature of 37°C or higher on May 17, driven by the latest global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs around 37–39°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. Recent observations confirm the trend, with Jeddah highs reaching 41°C on May 6 and similar extremes on May 12–15 per National Center for Meteorology reports, reflecting the city's tropical desert climate where May averages 37°C peaks due to intense solar insolation and minimal cooling sea breezes. Hazy conditions from dust may slightly suppress peaks, but model consensus shows low risk below 36°C; watch for tomorrow's NCM updates and afternoon observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport for resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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